The Bottom Line Upfront

The influx of low-priced Chinese electric vehicles (EVs) assembled in Mexico could pose a significant threat to the American auto industry. China is capitalizing on its cost-effective EV model and plans to build a green industrial base in Morocco, expanding global dominance of the industry.

The Breakdown

  • These budget-friendly EVs might enter the U.S. market duty-free or with minimal tariffs under the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement, raising concerns among domestic automakers about their ability to compete.
  • This shift could challenge U.S.-based carmakers, potentially destabilizing jobs and economies tied to traditional automotive manufacturing.
  • U.S. officials have various tools at their disposal to mitigate this potential disruption.
  • They can rule that these imported cars do not qualify for duty benefits.
  • Alternatively, they may pressure Mexico or block them on national security grounds.
  • Significant challenges lie ahead as internal combustion engine sales decline while EV sales soar globally.
  • ICE vehicle sales peaked in 2017 and are currently declining sharply.
  • Government policies worldwide favoring electric vehicles contribute significantly to this trend.
  • While transitioning from gas-powered engines to high-tech EVs is essential for environmental sustainability, it's also proving messy and fraught with technical issues such as software reliability problems highlighted by JDPower's surveys.